Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-8 Men's Saber

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Jarrett 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% < 1%
2 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
3 WANG Alex 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 3%
3 SHKALIKOV Denys 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 18%
5 NILANGE Karun 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
6 WANG Jayden 100% 98% 86% 60% 29% 8% 1%
7 XU Ethan 100% 88% 31% 3% - -
8 YANG Kaleb 100% 23% 1% - - -
9 DJUNAEDI Brann 100% 100% 100% 92% 62% 20%
10 ZHANG ERIC 100% 100% 99% 78% 30% 2%
11 HELM Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
12 LEE Damian 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
13 FAN Ethan 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.