Renard Cup #1: Vulpecula

Mixed Foil

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Renard Fencing Academy - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 76%
2 DAVIS Daniel 100% 100% 92% 54% 8%
3 KOZINSKI Allison 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
3 KATZE Ashley 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
5 XU Teresa 100% 87% 37% 7% 1% -
6 FRASER Alistair 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
7 CARDENAS Nathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 20% 3%
8 DEPP Edward 100% 94% 59% 18% 2%
9 ACKLEY Elijah 100% 100% 96% 68% 20% 2% -
10 WEBSTER Liam 100% 100% 93% 63% 18%
11 LIM Cayden 100% 52% 12% 1% -
12 GARCIA Fabricio 100% 100% 99% 89% 47% 1%
13 LEE Claire 100% 98% 71% 22% 2% -
15 ANTHONY Henry 100% 91% 57% 17% 2% - -
16 BAILEY Lauren 100% 97% 68% 18% 1% -
17 HAN JINHA 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
19 YOUNG Rihyan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
20 TRAYLOR David 100% 99% 85% 46% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.