Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
2 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 12%
3 BUSH Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 19%
3 PINCHUK Spencer 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 1%
5 YI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
6 CHI Zachary 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
7 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
8 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 2%
9 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35% 3%
10 SHI Ethan 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
11 LAU Jesse 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
12 LI John 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
13 HONG Eason 100% 99% 90% 60% 19% 1%
14 HAO Hardy 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% -
15 YANG XINRUI 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
16 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
17 LI Ethan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
18 WANG Franklin 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
19 WON Jacob 100% 99% 91% 59% 21% 3%
20 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
21 TIKHONOV Aleksandr 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
22 LI nathan zeting 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
23 CHO Lincoln 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
24 ZHANG Lucas 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
25 LU Jayden 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
26 ZHANG ZETAO(Steven) 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
27 WANG Alexander 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
28 ERLIKHMAN Emanuel 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
29 NI Liam 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 8%
30 XUE Jason 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
31 LEE Paxton 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
32 DAI Greyson 100% 70% 24% 4% - -
33 SZETO Jonathan 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% 1%
34 SHIH Eli 100% 96% 69% 27% 4% -
35 HWANG Isaac 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
36 KIM Ian 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
37 ZHANG OWEN 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
38 REED Andrew 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
39 GAN Samuel 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
40 ZHANG Luran 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
41 CHIANG WESLEY 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
42 OSIKA Wyatt 100% 70% 24% 4% - -
43 TOUPET Luke 100% 100% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
44 PENG Jason 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.