Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Women's Saber

Monday, September 1, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 9%
2 BORDAS HILL Georgiana 100% 100% 96% 71% 29% 5%
3 HAN Emma 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
3 MISHEV Lila 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
5 SHEARER Alena 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
6 LIN Ariel 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
7 CAI Joanna 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
8 CHANG Annette 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
9 MINDIRGASOVA Valentina 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
10 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
11 CAI Veronica 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
12 HUANG Wanyi 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
13 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
14 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
15 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
16 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
17 BAIRD Kaleah 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
18 XA-CHIN Sara 100% 100% 99% 84% 46% 10%
19 WILSON Eva 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
20 SAMPATH Medha 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
21 ZHANG JADY 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1%
22 ZHAO Jing 100% 100% 97% 74% 32% 5%
23 WELCH Greta 100% 23% 2% - - - -
24 LIM Eunice 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
25 OOI Ming Qin 100% 57% 10% 1% - -
26 HENRY Erin 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
27 PHAN Genevieve 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
28 MOROAICA Nsheka 100% 64% 13% 1% - -
29 PANCHAL Arya 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
30 GOMES Gisela 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4%
31 RIGBY Ellie 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
32 SUZUKI HAN Alisa 100% 98% 68% 28% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.