North Texas Roundup SYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Main Hall Dallas Market Center - Dallas, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	DUFF Caitlin	1%	10%	29%	37%	20%	4%
2	NIU Jessica	-	2%	10%	30%	39%	19%
3	SUNG Olivia	-	-	2%	10%	28%	38%	20%
3	XIAO Cindy	-	-	1%	7%	25%	42%	25%
5	KU Alathea-Joy	-	-	-	4%	18%	41%	37%
6	PARK Chloe	-	5%	20%	37%	29%	8%
7	XU Kaylyn	-	2%	17%	43%	31%	7%
8	LAI Karen	-	4%	18%	33%	30%	12%	2%
9	KIM Karen	-	-	6%	29%	46%	20%
10	KAUL Tara	-	-	-	5%	21%	42%	32%
11	LUKER Hannah	-	-	-	5%	23%	43%	29%
12	LU QIWEN	-	3%	17%	36%	31%	12%	1%
13	GUO Yuexi	3%	15%	32%	32%	15%	3%	-
14	PEREIRA Izumi	1%	6%	21%	34%	27%	10%	1%
15	HU Heidi	-	4%	16%	32%	31%	14%	2%
16	KANG Soeun	-	4%	16%	31%	32%	15%	2%
17	KU Chloe	-	1%	9%	34%	38%	16%	2%
18	DUDNICK Morgan	-	-	2%	17%	45%	35%
19	KO Ariel	1%	6%	20%	33%	28%	11%	1%
20	MALLAMPATI Jaabili	-	-	3%	18%	38%	32%	9%
21	ZHAO Selena	-	-	3%	13%	32%	38%	15%
22	WITEK Isabelle	-	7%	28%	38%	22%	5%	-
23	MOON Claire	-	1%	7%	21%	35%	28%	8%
24	CLAIANU Adriana	1%	9%	32%	39%	17%	3%	-
25	BHASKARA Srita Pratika	13%	42%	34%	10%	1%	-	-
26	CHERON Helene	-	1%	6%	24%	38%	26%	6%
27	CHERUKURI Tanvi	2%	11%	28%	33%	20%	6%	1%
28	SONI Ruhee	14%	37%	33%	13%	2%	-
29	HUANG Valencia	2%	13%	29%	32%	18%	5%	-
30	YE Madeleine	-	1%	8%	27%	38%	23%	4%
31	NGUYEN Madeleine	1%	8%	27%	37%	22%	5%
32	OEI Allyson	4%	18%	34%	29%	12%	2%	-
33	HAM Elizabeth	6%	23%	35%	25%	9%	1%	-
34	KIM Grace M.	1%	15%	46%	31%	7%	1%
35	JOSHI Samika	2%	11%	28%	33%	20%	6%	1%
36	MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous	13%	33%	33%	16%	4%	-	-
37	FUCHS Umi	12%	44%	33%	10%	1%	-	-
38	GILLENTINE Madelyn	27%	53%	18%	2%	-	-
39	SEO Yunseo	21%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-	-
40	ROMERO Aanandhamayi	12%	33%	33%	17%	4%	1%	-
41	KARAM Ayleen	40%	43%	15%	2%	-	-	-
42	BABB Virginia	11%	32%	34%	18%	5%	1%	-
43	MEADE Kaia G.	29%	43%	22%	5%	1%	-
44	OH Chloe	13%	33%	33%	16%	4%	1%	-
45	EDELBROCK Kate	49%	43%	8%	-	-	-
46	LEE Ariella	1%	6%	20%	34%	28%	10%	1%
47	FOISSET Camille	63%	33%	4%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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