North Texas Roundup SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Monday, September 1, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Main Hall Dallas Market Center - Dallas, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	BOSITA Carson	-	-	-	-	5%	32%	62%
2	GONZALEZ Jake	-	-	-	-	11%	88%
3	PEREIRA Beckham	-	1%	6%	25%	43%	25%
3	BOLLU Viren	-	-	4%	19%	43%	33%
5	TIAGI George	-	-	2%	22%	49%	27%
6	MEADE Liam R.	-	4%	20%	39%	30%	8%
7	XUE Leo	-	1%	10%	31%	41%	17%
8	NAMBIAR Navin	-	2%	11%	33%	39%	16%
9	GUREVICH Benjamin	-	-	3%	18%	44%	35%
10	KWON Kenneth	-	-	2%	15%	39%	37%	7%
11	KU Collin	-	2%	14%	39%	36%	10%
12	WANG Alex	-	1%	8%	28%	41%	20%	2%
13	SALMAN Hamzah	-	1%	12%	37%	38%	11%
14	BOSITA Brennan	-	1%	10%	31%	40%	18%
15	CHEN Kevin	-	1%	15%	47%	31%	6%
16	KEMP Austin	10%	34%	37%	16%	3%	-
17	LIU Guanyu	-	2%	12%	39%	44%	3%
18	SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan	-	2%	14%	36%	35%	12%
19	KO Zuriel	-	-	1%	15%	46%	37%
20	KONDOGI Saivarun	15%	41%	33%	10%	1%	-
21	SMITH Etienne	27%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-
22	HUANG Keon	7%	63%	27%	3%	-	-
23	PARIKH Saavn	15%	37%	33%	13%	2%	-
24	CHAVAN Aditya	2%	17%	38%	31%	10%	1%	-
25	ZLATINSKI Jason	-	1%	11%	33%	39%	15%
26	WANG Luke	2%	18%	43%	29%	7%	1%
27	RAMSEY Alexander	4%	20%	37%	29%	9%	1%
28	KAMURA Kosei	2%	15%	37%	36%	10%	-
29	SHANKAR Rahm	-	17%	55%	24%	3%	-
30	JANG Junyeong	1%	7%	27%	40%	22%	4%	-
31	WOSTER Matthew (Mateo)	16%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-
32	WOLFFE Eduardo	18%	48%	28%	6%	-	-
33	SRA Nawab	10%	34%	38%	16%	2%	-
34	YANG Justin	5%	22%	38%	27%	8%	1%
34	KANG Jayden	20%	42%	29%	8%	1%	-
36	GUO Jonathan	11%	35%	36%	15%	3%	-
37	ARESERY Daniel	4%	22%	39%	27%	8%	1%
38	HUANG Anthony	23%	46%	26%	6%	1%	-	-
39	EDELBROCK Beckett	38%	44%	16%	2%	-	-
40	DEGUZMAN Holden	15%	39%	34%	11%	1%	-
40	BURLA Saiavaneesh	51%	40%	9%	1%	-	-
42	PANIWALA Atif	32%	45%	19%	3%	-	-	-
43	STARLING Herbert	87%	12%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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