Windy City Fencing Open Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Menomonee club - Chicago, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
2 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
3 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 15%
3 SOBESHKEVYCH Roman 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
5 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 21%
6 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
7 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 91% 59% 17%
8 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3%
9 DHAL Leon 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
10 COLIN Nathan 100% 100% 85% 48% 15% 2%
11 WHEELER Mark 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
12 BECKMAN Ana 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
13 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
14 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1%
15 LEHNER Brian 100% 100% 90% 48% 12% 1%
16 ZHAO Alina 100% 88% 53% 16% 2% -
17 CANCELO Jose 100% 98% 76% 35% 9% 1%
18 HURLEY Michael 100% 35% 5% - - -
18 KESTER Nick 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
20 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% -
21 GOODMAN Liam 100% 88% 26% 3% - -
22 ZABALA Gabriel 100% 24% 2% - - -
23 VARAN Kateryna 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
24 VANAMA Agastya 100% 64% 17% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.