Star Cup RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Danvers Indoor Sports - DANVERS, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EYBELMAN Ariel - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
2 WANG Daniel - - - - 7% 39% 53%
3 SWIFT Owen - - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
3 CAI Jeff - - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
5 LAUB William - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
6 KARAVAS Nicholas 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
7 WANG Edward - 1% 8% 35% 38% 16% 2%
8 GORDON Samuel 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
9 KHOTLINE Daniel - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
10 LIU Eric 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
11 COUNTS Nicholas - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
12 WASCO Andrew - 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 2%
13 TSAO Oliver - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
14 PEREIRA Beckham - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
15 MOHAMED Moaz - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 10%
16 NAYAK Surin K. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
17 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
18 CRAWFORD William - 4% 20% 40% 28% 7% -
19 SUN Andy 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
20 MUNGOVAN Matthew - - 2% 15% 39% 34% 10%
21 LORENZ Evan - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
22 MENZIES Liam 13% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
23 MCCARTHY Michael 43% 42% 14% 2% - - -
24 LEE Damian 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
24 DEMERS Bodhi 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
26 WEISS Toby 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2%
27 SHAPIRO Simon 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
28 TSAO Alister 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
29 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 42% 41% 15% 2% - -
30 SAYAR Luke 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
31 ZHIVICH Theo 22% 46% 27% 4% - - -
32 CHIN Adrian 12% 40% 35% 11% 2% - -
33 CHANG Timothy 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
34 WITHAM Leo 18% 45% 31% 5% - - -
35 PEACE Sam 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
36 HAUSLER Jayden 4% 25% 42% 24% 5% - -
37 MUKHERJEE Aryan 21% 45% 29% 5% - - -
38 MAGITSKY Isaac 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
39 MARSHQUIST Miles 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.