Elite RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 1:00 PM

John T. Rhodes Myrtle Beach Sports Center - Myrtle Beach, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SMOLICH Emily 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
2 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
3 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
3 BALIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
5 PHAN Logan 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
6 JOSEPH Hannah 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
7 ROSENFELT Dava 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
8 JOSEPH Rachel 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
9 SCHWARTZ Sophie 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% < 1%
10 VENZON Makena Jane 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
11 IBRAHIM Yara 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
12 YAO Emma 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
13 IRIZARRY Nyla 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
14 SOMAN Indraa 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
15 WANG Thea 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
16 LU Sophie 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% 1%
17 GOEL Saanvi 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
18 MA Laurie 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
19 SAKATA Jamie 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.