Event Results
DIABLO Trophy @ Bay Area Fencing ClubSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SAFTA Aidan | V V V V V | V V V V | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 2 | BURLINGAME Owen | V V V V V | V V D | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| 3 | JENA Aanvi | D V V V V | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 3 | LI Austin | V D D D | V V D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 5 | MASOOD Rohail | V V V V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 6 | LEE Tristan | D V V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 7 | SITU Baiqin Kevin Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 8 | OTAEGI Elorri | V D V D D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 9 | DVOIRIS Maya | V V D V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 10 | MATVEYEV Julia | V D D V V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 11 | WANG Ellen | V V D V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 | |
| 11 | LU Zihan | D V D V V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 13 | PALTA Sanaya | V D V D D | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 14 | LEE Jayden | D D V D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 15 | TSAI Spencer | D V D D D | V D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 16 | NGUYEN Nolan | D D D D V | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 17 | LINTNER-CALVO Julien | D D D D D | D | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| 18 | MERRIGAN Annabelle | D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |