Peachtree RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Suwanee Sports Academy - Suwanee, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LIM EUNSEONG	-	-	-	-	1%	13%	87%
2	DANTON Ryan	-	1%	6%	24%	43%	26%
3	KOE Declan	-	-	2%	14%	43%	41%
3	CHENUTULA Abhinav	-	4%	21%	45%	26%	4%
5	ZENG Albert	-	-	3%	17%	42%	38%
6	SUN Ethan	-	4%	16%	34%	33%	12%	-
7	NEMI Vin	-	1%	9%	34%	42%	14%
8	QIAN Henry	-	-	2%	16%	46%	37%
9	ROBERTSON Liam	4%	22%	38%	27%	8%	1%
10	RAMESH prashvin	-	-	3%	23%	48%	25%
11	PATEL Aarav	16%	39%	33%	11%	1%	-
12	KUTATELADZE Danieli	1%	8%	25%	36%	24%	6%	-
13	MARCUS Vincent	-	3%	15%	33%	34%	14%	1%
14	ZHOU Alex	-	2%	11%	32%	40%	16%
15	SANTANGELO Jack	30%	43%	22%	5%	-	-
16	HUDSON Jedidiah	5%	22%	36%	26%	9%	1%	-
17	HU Anthony	11%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-
18	CHOE Austin	7%	33%	43%	15%	2%	-
19	GUAN Yi	-	2%	17%	42%	31%	7%
20	FORD Lennox	28%	49%	20%	3%	-	-
21	HOFFMAN Zane	1%	7%	27%	39%	22%	4%
22	BRITTINGHAM Henry	14%	34%	33%	15%	3%	-	-
23	MANNA Shreyaan	1%	8%	29%	41%	19%	3%
24	MORRISON Archer	12%	34%	35%	15%	3%	-
25	BROWN Jackson	18%	44%	31%	7%	1%	-
26	HOARE Gabriel	1%	15%	46%	30%	7%	-
27	LIANG Andrew	13%	38%	34%	12%	2%	-
27	HAN Edison	43%	46%	10%	1%	-	-
29	BUTTGEREIT Easton	-	3%	16%	36%	35%	10%
30	BEATY Robert	38%	45%	15%	2%	-	-
31	SHAY Xander	11%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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