The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Cindy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
2 SHI Maxine 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
3 QIU Abigail 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
3 TAN Angela 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
5 CORD Sophia 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
6 YU Sydney 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
7 TABANCAY Ava 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
8 ZHOU Carolyn 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
9 SARATH Sana 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
10 TRAN Esme 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2% -
11 CHACKO Anne 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
12 NARRELL Olive 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
13 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
14 LUC Madisyn 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
15 TANG Esther 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 36% 5%
16 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
17 RO Manhattan 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
18 PAN Lai An 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
19 KRISHNA Viraja 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
20 WYTCHERLEY Asteria 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.