2026 BFC Youth Series 1

Unrated Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Jayden 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 1%
2 YOON Jonathan 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
3 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
3 PEGUS Izzy 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
5 MILLER Brodrick 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
6 BAKER Bransen 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 3%
7 YIN Xiangheng 100% 95% 73% 33% 6% -
8 FLANAGAN Ronan 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
9 ZHANG Jacob 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
10 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
11 NAGELHOUT Cole 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15%
12 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
13 YAN Milan 100% 93% 67% 32% 10% 2% -
14 DANA Miles 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
15 HATZIGIANNIS Paris 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
16 YANTZ Stosh 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
17 YANTZ Rhys 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
18 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
19 HYSON Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
20 CIRELLO Ethan 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.