The Donut Duel

E & Under Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DRIVER Atticus - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
2 STEMLER Tyler - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
3 TATE Linus 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
3 BAKKE Alexander - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
5 OXIE Matthew 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
6 RAMOS-VERSESCU Alicia 15% 37% 33% 13% 3% -
7 ARNEMANN Jonas 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
8 SOMERFORD Alex 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
9 ROYCE Jack 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
10 AWAD Rhys 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
11 BLAIR Kyle 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1%
12 MANKEL Kyleigh 7% 28% 40% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.