Pirate Day at NKFA

Unrated Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 8:30 AM

NKFA Salle - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ELLIS, IV Floyd 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
2 MCNARY Ross - 1% 10% 35% 46% 8%
3 CHATLOS Allison 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
3 BARR Owen - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
5 LONG Erika 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
6 ABUSUNDUS Ahmed 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
7 FRENCH David 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
8 TLUCHOWSKI Sam 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
9 KWASNIK Joshua - - 5% 21% 44% 30%
10 CRAFT David M. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
11 KOCSIS Cherry 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
11 HOMAN Henry 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.