Air Force ROC (D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Air Force Academy, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
2 MANDEL Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
3 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
3 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
5 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
5 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
7 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 98% 83% 34%
8 BURKE Sam 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
9 LI Yidong A. 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
10 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 99% 85% 44% 11% 1%
11 WANG Max 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 1%
12 LI Ayden 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
13 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
14 RODRIGUEZ Erik 100% 100% 91% 63% 24% 3%
15 LIU Leyi 100% 92% 57% 14% 1%
16 AL-NASSER Mahmoud 100% 100% 95% 67% 25% 3%
17 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 99% 85% 37%
18 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
19 CHAN Elliott 100% 73% 31% 6% 1% -
20 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
21 CAO Donald 100% 95% 49% 11% 1% -
22 GREENE Joseph T. 100% 100% 89% 53% 16% 2%
23 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 21%
24 MCMANIGAL Matthew L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
25 LI Huangziyue 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
26 BRUSHABER Colin 100% 76% 27% 4% - -
27 COBIAN Richard 100% 65% 19% 2% -
28 KO Zuriel 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 1%
29 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
30 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
31 LOPER Alex 100% 78% 31% 4% -
32 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 26% 3% - - -
33 MYERS Jacob 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
34 ROBINSON Ezra 100% 56% 13% 1% - -
35 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 100% 18% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.