The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Ben Gutenberg RYC/RJCC & Div IA Local

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 11:00 AM

Brockport, NY - Brockport, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKINNER Graham B. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
2 CHEN Leo - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
3 BURNS Jackson P. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
3 WANG Charles - - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
5 SAVOY Luca - 3% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2%
6 CHO Winston - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
7 HUANG Connor - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
8 GILSON Lucas B. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
9 PIWOWAR Alex - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
10 DOLAN Charles R. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
11 TASIKAS Stylianos - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
12 KASPER Aaron 6% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
13 BRIDGES Benjamin - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 9%
14 SMITH Vaughn 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 5% -
15 KUSHKOV Daniel - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
16 OWENS Harrison J. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
17 SMINK Oliver 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
18 MORALES Jonathan - 4% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
19 MOULTON Ian 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
20 WEIL Asher D. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
21 REMMEL Benjamin 1% 10% 34% 39% 15% 2% -
22 CHO Blake 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
23 DOLAN John 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
24 BAUMEL David 12% 42% 33% 11% 2% - -
24 HONG Robert 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
26 BAUMEL Zachary 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
27 POLESHUCK KINEL Gil 10% 45% 33% 10% 1% - -
28 HOFFMAN Pasquale 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.