SITS Grand Reopening 3 Weapon Tournament

Senior Men's Foil

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Sword in the Scroll Fencing Academy - Willimantic, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 TORO Alejandro 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 48%
2 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
3 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
3 BUCHAS James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
5 JEFF Ariff 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4% -
6 HARRIS Noah 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12% -
7 CROWDER Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
8 CHOI Caleb 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - - -
9 BRILLANTES Luke 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2% -
9 DIVINCENZO Hunter 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 25% 3%
11 ARSHAD Mohsin 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
12 DEXTER Zebulon 100% 72% 28% 5% - - - -
13 PRZYBOROWSKI Thomas 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% 1% - -
14 KROLEWSKI Nathaniel 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - - -
15 COHEN Maxwell 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - - -
15 BUMPUS Isaias 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.