BFA Grand Prix - Stage 1

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Bida Fencing Academy - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Anna 100% 100% 94% 65% 20% 2%
2 SCHMIDT Alexis 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
3 LI Allison 100% 100% 96% 74% 28% 2%
3 REN Mark 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 2%
5 CHADHA Ditvi 100% 41% 8% 1% < 1% -
6 GIRIRAJ Aditya 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 2%
7 LEE Rebecca 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
8 BERBEGA Polina 100% 100% 84% 44% 11% 1%
9 TRUONG Chloe 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
10 KIM Christian 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
11 YE Andrew 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% -
12 NISHIOKA Hiro 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
13 LI Elaine 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
14 MENDIRATTA olivia 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1%
15 TSE Emma 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
16 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
17 LIM Corbin 100% 100% 95% 67% 22% 2%
18 MULCHANDANI anya 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.