Ultimate Epee Cup

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Ultimate Fencing Academy - Dayton, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FANG Charlie 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 2%
2 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
3 NG Remy 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
3 LAI Jaxon 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 17% 2%
5 BRISTOL COLTON JOASH 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
6 ZHAO Rachel 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
7 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
8 LIU Frederick 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 15% 2%
9 KUO Stella 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
10 CHEN Zachary 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
11 GORE Noah 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
12 MALIK Nouman 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
13 CRYE Abigail 100% 100% 93% 66% 24% 1%
14 ERATA Selena 100% 97% 70% 28% 5% - -
15 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
16 VAZIRANI Jiya 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%
17 ASHOUR Omar 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
18 CRUZ Juno 100% 100% 99% 91% 53% 13% 1%
19 LIOU Skylar 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
20 SURENDAR Dhiya 100% 100% 82% 45% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.