Air Force ROC (D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Air Force Academy, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. - - - - 5% 95%
2 VESTEL Mira B. - - 5% 51% 44%
3 ZOLLER Noelle - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
3 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - - 4% 19% 41% 34%
5 HWANG Charlotte 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
6 MISHEV Lila 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
7 SEAL Julie T. - - 5% 49% 46%
8 KANG Soeun 20% 54% 25% 1% -
9 DUDNICK Morgan 1% 8% 25% 37% 25% 5%
10 CHANG Annette 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
11 ISBERG Natalie - 4% 19% 43% 33% 1%
12 KRASOWITZ Lucy 5% 35% 51% 8% -
13 SEAL Cameron I. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
14 TONG Laurie 5% 24% 41% 26% 5% -
15 WILSON Eva 1% 12% 35% 38% 13% -
16 SUN Angela 55% 39% 6% - -
17 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 5%
18 KO Ariel 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
19 DEMARIA Lauren 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
20 SENGUPTA Jia 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
21 CHERUKURI Tanvi 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
22 KHOST Maeve 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
22 PATIL Jyothi 38% 42% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.