Air Force ROC (D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Air Force Academy, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHO Karis 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
2 SWOPE Farren 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 CHEN Jephanie Y. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
3 URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
5 LI Chelsea 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
6 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
7 CHOI Sophie 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
8 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
9 HSU Rachel 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
10 HUGHES Bailey 100% 84% 40% 9% 1% -
11 BHANGOO Paloma 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% -
12 SEAL Ayda 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
13 ZHANG Tianyi 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
14 ARYA Leela 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2%
15 TIVY Caitlyn 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
16 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
17 VIGIL Liliana 100% 98% 74% 32% 6% -
18 SHIPMAN Danika 100% 47% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.