SITS Grand Reopening 3 Weapon Tournament

Senior Women's Épée

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Sword in the Scroll Fencing Academy - Willimantic, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BARMAN Willa 100% 100% 99% 91% 53% 12%
2 WALMSLEY rowan 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
3 PELILLO Devyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31%
3 DIOH Nicole 100% 87% 39% 8% 1% -
5 COVINO Mila 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 9%
6 ERIKSEN Kate 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
7 BURNHAM Sarah 100% 100% 96% 69% 25% 3%
8 MARASINI Bibhuti 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
9 BURNHAM Elizabeth (Liz) A. 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 12%
10 SUMMERER Jordan 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
11 CROWDER Julia 100% 93% 61% 20% 3% -
12 CUFF Addison 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
13 GILMORE Lia 100% 73% 25% 3% - -
14 DIBENEDETTI Isabella 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
15 THIEMAN Alexandra 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 2%
16 ALBANO Chloe 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
17 PAGE Dannan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
18 LITMAN Polina 100% 57% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.