RCFC Friday Night D & Under Foil #1

Div III Mixed Foil

Friday, September 19, 2025 at 7:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HO Christopher 100% 100% 94% 46% 9% 1%
2 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 6%
3 BACON Maxwell 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
3 NGUYEN Ress 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
5 ZHENG Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
6 LIGERET Stella 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
7 RYU Greyson 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
8 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
9 ZHANG Raphael 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
10 LU Chang 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
11 LI Alex 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% -
12 SCHULTZ Sumi 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
13 CLEMENTE Aragorn 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
14 ISLAM Asif 100% 100% 91% 59% 20% 2%
15 BEASLEY Julien 100% 100% 99% 84% 41% 7%
16 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
17 CAMARENO Omar 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
18 HONG Elsie 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 1%
18 FRIEDEN Quinn 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
20 KIM Arielle 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
21 WINSLOW Chris D. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
22 ROSS Ellie 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
23 WU Elynna 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% 1%
24 LEE Michael 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
25 BLIDAR Giulia 100% 69% 19% 2% - -
25 BHAT Aaptha 100% 100% 92% 61% 19% 2%
27 WANG Albert 100% 63% 12% 1% - -
28 AN Jasmine N. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
29 CHEN William (Max) 100% 54% 7% - - -
30 A SIDDIQUI Kaamil 100% 99% 85% 46% 11% 1%
30 YAO Bexley 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.