Auburn Fall Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Auburn Rec - Auburn, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
2 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
3 BELL Leo 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
3 KNOX Aidan 100% 97% 79% 35%
5 CHALMERS Thomas 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
6 BONNER Cohen 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
7 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 89% 24% 1%
9 VINEL Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 53% 11%
11 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 79% 32% 5%
12 LEVINE David 100% 99% 86% 37%
13 GAYFORD Zachary 100% 99% 86% 42% 6%
13 CALINSKY Zachary 100% 99% 91% 58% 14%
15 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 100% 84% 24%
16 HIAGO Lepesqueur 100% 99% 82% 42% 9%
17 WYNN Paul 100% 100% 97% 62%
18 MEILAN William 100% 100% 96% 54% 8%
19 LIN Sam 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
20 BANJA Michael 100% 43% 8% 1% -
22 HARRIS Brendan 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
24 ELEY Ellis 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
25 CHAILLOU Jonah 100% 97% 31% 3% -
26 WALKER Kendall 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
27 PEACOCK Audrey 100% 88% 48% 9% 1% -
28 ACCORNERO Aidan 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
29 HAAS Lindsey 100% 48% 10% 1%
30 RETZER Phillip 100% 91% 24% 1%
31 SOKOLOWSKI Olivia 100% 81% 35% 6% - -
32 WERTH Mario 100% 97% 72% 30% 4%
33 VALENZUELA Elijah 100% 62% 15% 1%
34 PHILLIPS Carson 100% 98% 75% 22%
35 WASH James 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
36 VARNER Kathryn 100% 16% 1% - -
37 CARRANZA Samuel 100% 98% 78% 30%
38 HERNDON Rylee 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
39 SHANNON Sarabeth 100% 16% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.