RCFC In-House Intro #1

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OH Timothy 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
2 YIN Ellie 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
3 SU Jet 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% < 1%
3 CHEN Aaron 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
5 LIN Calvin 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
6 IN Henry 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
7 YANG Cecilia 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
8 LI Brian 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
9 LIU Henry 100% 81% 36% 7% - -
10 LOEFFLER Henry 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 8%
11 LI Athena 100% 99% 83% 44% 11% 1%
12 PUVIYARASAN Yuvan 100% 98% 85% 59% 28% 8% 1%
13 TONG Alicia 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.