RCFC In-House Intro #1

Y-14 Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SILVERNAIL Asher 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 3%
2 MERRIMAN Evalyn 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
3 XU Ketian Alastair 100% 78% 24% 3% < 1% -
3 LUPARU Leo 100% 100% 97% 69% 24% 3%
5 KATTI Sohum 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
6 YANG Eric 100% 96% 75% 34% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.