Apex Novice Cup - September

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAO Emma 100% 100% 99% 88% 38% 2%
2 HOLLANDER Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
3 YEUNG Asher Pak Yu 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% 1%
3 SOMAN Nabha 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
5 HOIMES Eliana 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
6 JENSEN Luke 100% 99% 93% 64% 19% 2%
7 SPARKS EVERETT 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 1%
8 SILVA Lia 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
9 VANDERLEY Alayna 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
10 MENON Anika 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
11 BEAN Adeline 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
12 IMTANAVANICH Tinn 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
14 BASH Benjamin 100% 98% 83% 42% 8% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.