Apex Novice Cup - September

Senior Men's Foil

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 NEGLEY Royce 100% 91% 56% 15% < 1%
2 LUNG Po nam 100% 100% 98% 66% 18%
3 WHITE Morgan 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
3 AKCHURIN Abdrakhman 100% 88% 50% 14% 1%
5 GAYER Mace 100% 49% 9% 1% -
6 MILCZANOWSKI Adam 100% 100% 99% 78% 29%
7 PRATT Riley 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
8 TYNDALL Brandon 100% 100% 95% 65% 19%
9 BOND Gabriel 100% 72% 28% 5% -
10 PAYNE Gavin 100% 68% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.