Apex Novice Cup - September

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URIA Sullivan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
2 CHEN Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
3 PERI Mourya 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
3 NOLAN Sophia 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% < 1%
5 HOLMES Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 10%
6 PARKER Sawyer 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
7 STUKALO Egor 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
8 GAYLE Fletcher 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
9 TAYLOR Quinton 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
10 BURGOS Eli 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
11 PRABHU Srinish 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
12 DERENSIS-WILLIAMS Finley 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
13 SONI Lavanya 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
14 WIMSATT Andrew 100% 98% 83% 46% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.