The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 12:45 PM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
2 FRANTZ Ken 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
3 GU Gordon 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
3 ZHANG Ethan 100% 90% 53% 17% 2% -
5 KIM Colin 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
6 VINCENT Yian 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17%
7 JOHN Christian 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
8 LI Max 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
9 SHI Henry 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
10 LASS Edward 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% -
11 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
12 TARDIFF Finn 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
13 BORROK Andrew 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
14 LAM Esher 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
15 PACIUS Chase 100% 100% 80% 41% 11% 1%
16 LERMAN Elan 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
17 CIECIEREGA Michael 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
18 DU Justin 100% 50% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.