SAS Pirate Cup #1

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 WANG Tina 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 32%
3 MA Yanjie 100% 100% 100% 93% 40% 5%
3 DIRSMITH Benjamin J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
5 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
6 YANG Caroline 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
7 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 100% 97% 72% 8%
8 HOLMES Xavier 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 1%
9 REITER Michael L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17% 1%
10 CHIU Philippa 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1%
11 ARMSTRONG Doug 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29%
12 LEE River L 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 6%
13 HARFORD Benjamin 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
14 DAVISSON Zack 100% 92% 54% 11% -
15 MOODY Paul J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
16 SUNIDJA Indira 100% 91% 40% 4% -
17 WEST Mia 100% 99% 89% 54% 13% 1%
18 PENG Gregory 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
19 DEVASIA Nisha 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 3%
20 DEGEN Anita L. 100% 99% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
21 WONG Lucia 100% 94% 60% 16% 2% -
22 KIL Mitchell 100% 42% 6% - -
23 BEELER Parker 100% 99% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
24 ALLEN Oliver 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1% -
25 OTIENO Jamila 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
26 DELIC Luka 100% 87% 38% 4% - -
27 LOWREY Zola 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
28 ECKERT Marina 100% 93% 53% 16% 2% -
29 GUEA Mark 100% 43% 6% - - -
30 JOHNSON Jack 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
32 BARTON Seth 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.