TFC September Fence-a-thon

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
2 ZHANG Yuanhang (Peter) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
3 LI Sky 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
3 SHKALIKOVA Anastasiia 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
5 LIU Franklin 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 8%
6 JECHA Zachary 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8% -
7 WHITE Marcus 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
8 HAGENBUCH Isabella 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
9 PAN Vivienne 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
10 FANG Kaitlyn 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
11 SEVERT David 100% 83% 48% 18% 4% - -
12 CHAN Ella 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
13 FESSLMEIER andreas 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 18% 2%
14 VAN ROY Petra 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.