Motor City SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Elite Sportplex - Waterford Township, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
2 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
3 YANG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
5 TELEB Farida 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
6 LIU Bella 100% 99% 88% 50% 10% -
7 MA Sophia 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 4%
8 SMART Athena 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 11%
9 ZHANG Selina 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
10 LUO lucy 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
11 KOU Elisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
12 SON Ayoung 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 50%
13 SMOLICH Emily 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
14 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 5%
15 KIM Yuna 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12%
16 KASHUBA Mila 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
17 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 4%
18 KUANG Bella 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
19 MALIK Manha 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 38%
20 HUANG Emma 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
21 SAVIOZ Naomi 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
22 XU Charlene 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
23 KANASZ Peyton 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
24 CHAN Hailey 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
25 FAROOQI Eliora 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 1%
26 GONZALEZ Lauren 100% 97% 73% 31% 6% -
27 JONES Parker 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
28 WELTER Gemma 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
29 JIMÉNEZ PELAY Claudia 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
30 KOCHER Lillian 100% 89% 50% 13% 1% -
31 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
32 CULLIVAN Elise 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 3%
33 HUANG Rosalyn 100% 92% 55% 15% 1% -
34 SHI Cathy 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
35 HEWITT Madison 100% 96% 71% 26% 2% -
36 KERR Ingrid 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
37 LEE Eun-Hae 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
38 LALONDE Beatrice 100% 92% 62% 22% 3% -
39 XU Scarlett 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1%
40 LI Aiyu 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
41 TUNG Alison 100% 94% 62% 22% 3% -
42 KUMAR Leela 100% 95% 71% 27% 2% -
43 KLINGER Isabel 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 8%
44 ZENG Linya 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% -
45 FANG Savannah 100% 97% 77% 36% 7% 1%
46 LEE Isabella Yuen 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
47 LI Claire 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
48 KAGAN Natalie 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
49 FANG Yining 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
50 JIANG Mujing 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
51 NA Adelaide 100% 85% 43% 10% 1% -
52 CHENG Lucille 100% 100% 95% 69% 22% 1%
53 ZMUDA Jordan 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
53 JIN Sophia 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
53 MA Annabella 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
56 GONZALEZ Alexandra 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
56 CURRIER-BLAGG Bryn 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
58 HUANG Charise 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
59 CHENG Sophie 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
60 KAKARLA Aadya 100% 75% 29% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.