Motor City SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Elite Sportplex - Waterford Township, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
2 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
3 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
3 LEE Leo 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
5 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
6 MA Joseph 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
7 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12% 1%
8 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
9 JIN Noah 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
10 KRAVCHENKO Philip 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
11 CAMP William 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
12 WANG carson 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
13 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
14 WANG Henry 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
15 PAGLIARINI James 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
16 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
17 LIU Maximilian 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
18 WANG William 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
19 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
20 LEE Daniel 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
21 AHMAD Aydin 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
22 MBERIA Henry 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
23 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
24 ABEZGAUZ Ariel 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
25 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
25 LUO Sebastian 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
27 OLELE Chibuikem 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
28 DIERKING Cameron 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.