2025 TCFC September Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 8:30 AM

TCFC - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TOEWS Jackson - - - 3% 32% 66%
2 NAIDL Josiah - - 1% 21% 78%
3 SYMMANK Callen - 6% 28% 44% 22%
3 FOSTERVOLD Castiel - 5% 30% 56% 10%
5 CLIPPARD Erik J. - - 3% 21% 57% 19%
6 FEEHAN Conor 7% 37% 39% 15% 2%
7 STELLPFLUG Zachary 2% 17% 41% 33% 8%
8 HICKNER Gabe 9% 36% 39% 14% 1% -
9 DAVIS Jace W. 5% 26% 42% 24% 3% -
10 BEDARD Bennett 26% 47% 24% 3% -
11 KOTCH Brodie 60% 33% 6% - -
12 PETERSON Quinn 32% 48% 18% 2% -
13 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 3% 22% 44% 26% 4% -
14 PERLENFEIN Tyler < 1% 7% 30% 43% 20%
15 CHRISTENSEN Jack 8% 36% 44% 11% -
16 WINTERS Linus 37% 43% 17% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.