2025 TCFC September Challenges

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 12:00 PM

TCFC - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GROSSMAN Spencer 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9% 1%
2 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
3 ROBBINS Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
3 PERLENFEIN Tyler 100% 99% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
5 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 98% 55% 16% 2% - -
6 SETHRE Traci 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
7 LEIS Alexander 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.