Badger Fencing Club Anniversary Open

Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Badger Fencing Club - Madison, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 STORER Alexander 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1%
2 ZINSER James 100% 100% 80% 13% < 1%
3 SMITH Cooper 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
3 MISIOURA Mark 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% -
5 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% < 1%
6 PAPP Mike 100% 96% 56% 10% 1%
7 LOVE Brianna 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 3%
8 QUINN La'Darious 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
9 CHAMBERS Kyle 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
10 FAESSLER Aiden 100% 98% 81% 38% 5%
11 SPOHN Jaiden 100% 76% 31% 5% -
12 ASHBY Matthew 100% 100% 91% 58% 17%
13 LAI Wai 100% 100% 100% 91% 50%
14 STEINBACH Jack 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
15 LAI Macsen 100% 99% 83% 34% 5% -
16 JENSEN Montgomery 100% 100% 100% 92% 58% 15%
17 HARTMAN Sean 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
18 MEYER Michael 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
19 RUTH Erin 100% 83% 29% 2% - -
20 STROBEL Abigail 100% 97% 65% 22% 3% -
21 KASZUBSKI Evelyn 100% 98% 32% 2% -
22 MCCOY Keira 100% 80% 38% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.