Badger Fencing Club Anniversary Open

Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Badger Fencing Club - Madison, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
2 BIXBY Solomon 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
3 GILLHAM Timothy 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
3 BEACH John 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 40% 5%
5 SHIRLEY Patrick 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
6 SWENSON Diego 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
7 PAPP Mike 100% 99% 86% 53% 16% 2%
8 PFLAUMER Gregory 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
9 BURKHARDT Krista 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
10 ZEPEDA Andres 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
11 FIGURA Lucas 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
12 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
13 RUAN Jiayi 100% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
14 MISIOURA Mark 100% 66% 19% 2% - -
15 SHAW Andrew J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
16 ZAKAS Anna 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
17 SWENSON Alexandra 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
18 MUELLER Tyson 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
19 STEINBACH Jack 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
20 GORDON Andrew 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
21 WARREN Lydia 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 1%
22 HART Jenna 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
23 AMICH Steve 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
24 RATHJEN Renee 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
25 TRIPATHI Sneha 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.