Battle in Space City RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 11:30 AM

University of Houston - Campus Recreation and Wellness Center - Houston, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Austin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
2 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
3 BELETSKII Ivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 LI Andy 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
5 GALBRAITH Carson 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
6 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
7 CHEN Linus 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
8 BALLEZA Maximilian 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 5%
9 GARIKIPATI Tharan 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 2%
10 LIN Oliver 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
11 GOLDBERG Simon 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
12 KHALID Ilyas 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
13 WU James 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
14 DESAI Adithya 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
15 CHEN Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
16 SATHYAN Dhruv 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
17 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5%
18 KEPLER Kyle 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 3%
19 XIONG Alec 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
20 VAN RIET Matteo 100% 99% 92% 62% 21% 2%
21 SALAKO Declan 100% 88% 46% 12% 1% -
22 THOMSON Piers 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
23 TAN Samuel 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
24 HUFFMAN Shepherd 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 4%
25 YANG Clark 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
26 YUE Bryan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
27 JIN Ian 100% 99% 85% 52% 17% 2%
28 GRANTER John 100% 38% 6% - - -
28 MARCHESE Lucian 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
30 ALI Akash 100% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
31 FENSKE Gavin 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
32 ROCHE Theodore 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1%
33 SADLER Leon 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
34 WANG Bailey 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
35 GUNAWAN Warren 100% 99% 82% 42% 11% 1%
36 FLORES Alexander 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.