The Great Pumpkin

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 9:30 AM

College Park Neighborhood Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VENZON Gavin 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
2 COLANERI Trevor 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
3 DANG Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 39%
3 VENZON Roy 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
5 DAVIS Kelly 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
6 PERZAN Dominik 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
7 RIZZOLO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
8 DAVIS Shanna 100% 99% 88% 48% 12% 1% -
9 HINTON Connor 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
10 PASCHEL Christie 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
11 RIZZOLO Chris 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
12 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
13 WIKSTEN Ava 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
14 SEDON Joshua 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.