The Great Pumpkin

Unrated Men's Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 12:45 PM

College Park Neighborhood Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 LECLAIR Noah 100% 97% 73% 26% 1%
2 SEDA Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
3 MARCUS Vincent 100% 82% 34% 5% < 1%
3 BURLACE Brenden 100% 94% 56% 14% 1%
5 DANG Alan 100% 100% 100% 97% 65%
6 HICKS Joshua 100% 94% 66% 23% 1%
7 STRAUSS Ty 100% 99% 77% 15% 1%
8 MAZZUCCO Paolo 100% 52% 10% - -
9 SPAID Tyler 100% 99% 92% 59% 12%
10 OSBORNE Riley 100% 56% 14% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.