Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Women's Foil

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Angela 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 43%
2 YANIV Liya 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
3 BASILE Gianna 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
3 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18% 2%
5 LAZAR Carolina 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 6%
6 ZHU Ella 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
7 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
8 SHICK Veronika 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
9 MEYER Claudia 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
10 FELLMAN Sara 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
11 TOROPOVA Arina 100% 99% 88% 49% 13% 1%
12 STEWART Isla 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
13 BENNETT Emi 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
14 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 85% 34% 6% - -
15 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2% -
16 KRUPENKO Sabrina R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
17 KLING Kelsey 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
18 DEEKEN Anna 100% 93% 64% 28% 8% 1% -
19 MCCLELLAN Florence 100% 39% 5% - - -
20 ARANGO PINEDO Catalina 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.