Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WANG Joann - - - 5% 28% 67%
2 DONG Audrey - 4% 21% 39% 29% 6%
3 MILLER Anna - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
3 DOMINIK Eliana 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
5 LI Beatrice - 9% 32% 40% 17% 1%
6 WANG Manny - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
7 ZHENG Rachel 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% 1%
8 SUI Jessie 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
9 WANG Sally 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
10 CHUNG Sera 8% 27% 35% 23% 7% 1%
11 LIU Zihe 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 1%
12 TAN Noelle 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
13 CHANG Paige Yijae 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
14 DUAN EDELINE - - 1% 7% 36% 57%
15 CLOUD Cailynn 20% 42% 30% 8% - -
16 LI Catherine 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
17 LI Nora 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
18 BATTISTELLI Olivia 35% 42% 18% 4% - -
19 WANG Kelly 3% 25% 41% 25% 6% -
20 NADTOCHEVA Vera - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
21 KAPUR Gia < 1% 12% 37% 37% 13% 1%
21 CAO Kexin < 1% 11% 33% 37% 17% 3%
23 BAPNA Anisha 66% 29% 5% - - -
24 ZHU Chelsea 5% 27% 40% 22% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.