Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Colin 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
2 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
5 WONG Jacob 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
6 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1%
7 BROOKS Grant 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
8 GU Gordon 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 5% -
9 ADOLPHUS March 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13% 1%
10 LEE Augustine 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% -
11 LEVY Rafa 100% 98% 83% 44% 10%
12 MEROLLA Luca 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
13 JOHN Christian 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 2%
14 PASQUALE Roman 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
15 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
16 GARCIA Francisco 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
17 KO Logan 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% < 1%
18 CIECIEREGA Michael 100% 49% 11% 1% -
19 ENG Christian 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
20 GAO Frederick 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
21 LASS Edward 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
22 BELLOWS Blake 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
23 TIAN Michael 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
24 LERMAN Elan 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
25 TAUR Marcus 100% 93% 61% 21% 3%
27 GOLDBERG Wyatt 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
28 LI Max 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
29 ZHANG Ethan 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
30 JIANG Elvin 100% 99% 80% 39% 9% 1%
31 PAVULURI Ishan 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
32 POLITO Anthony 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.