Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 37%
3 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 32% 4%
3 KOPYLTSOVA Elizaveta 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 51%
5 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
6 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
7 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
8 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 85% 28%
9 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
10 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 53%
11 YU Jane 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 20%
12 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 1%
13 SHENG Katherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33%
14 YIN Chloe 100% 99% 88% 52% 12% 1%
15 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 30%
16 KIM Claire 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 18%
17 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
18 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
19 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
20 ZHAO Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 50% 7%
21 WANG Carol 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
22 CHO Olivia 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
23 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 29% 3%
24 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
25 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 20%
26 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
27 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59% 10%
28 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
29 LI Joy 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
30 LI Christina 100% 99% 91% 56% 10% 1%
31 BERGEL Daphne 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 10%
32 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 89% 51% 12% 1%
33 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 100% 89% 51% 12% 1%
34 VACCARO Lillian 100% 97% 72% 26% 2% - -
35 JOO Sara 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
36 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 93% 47% 9% 1% - -
37 CHUNG Stella 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
38 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 100% 98% 83% 39% 3% - -
39 BERTOLINI Mia 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 1%
40 SHUTZER Lily 100% 98% 82% 44% 10% 1% -
41 LI Savannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 51% 7%
42 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
43 BADLANI Diya 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
44 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 96% 70% 27% 4% -
45 XING Melly 100% 100% 95% 59% 19% 2%
46 GOODMAN Carden 100% 91% 55% 14% 1% -
47 STEWART Isla 100% 70% 12% 1% - -
48 LAVINE Samantha 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
49 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
50 FAN Melody 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
51 SONG Sarah 100% 84% 37% 6% - - -
52 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
53 WANG Dina C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 5%
53 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 97% 69% 21% 3% - -
55 ZHU Alivia 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
56 YOUM Amelia 100% 82% 37% 7% - -
57 PEVZNER Sophia 100% 94% 49% 11% 1% -
58 ZHU Ella 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
59 BAULIN Zoya 100% 87% 45% 11% 1% -
60 COLE Sofia 100% 94% 64% 25% 4% -
61 BO Iris 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
62 WU Charlotte 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% - -
63 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
63 BEKIYANTS Elizabeth 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
65 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% - -
66 MCCORMICK Ella 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
67 JUNCADELLA Lucy 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% - -
68 BENNETT Emi 100% 85% 40% 7% - - -
69 BULAVA Tatyana 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
70 WAN Celine 100% 97% 72% 26% 2% - -
71 MAIA ZUCKERMAN Julia 100% 99% 87% 47% 7% - -
72 SCARTOZZI Annabella 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
73 HUDSON Sophie 100% 42% 3% - - -
74 KIM Claire 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
75 PAEK Mila 100% 76% 32% 6% - - -
76 ALDREDGE Ginny Rebecca 100% 20% 1% - - -
77 LOBO Sophie 100% 26% 2% - - - -
78 GUSTAFSSON Anna 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.