MUS Pre-Season Open

Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Memphis University School - Memphis, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
2 JOHNSON Soren 100% 99% 83% 29%
3 SPRINGFIELD Landon A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
3 PHAN Henry 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 5%
5 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 100% 100% 98% 83% 33% 5%
6 PHILLIPS Nathaniel (Nate) C. 100% 100% 95% 52%
7 SAMAHA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 29%
8 VAN DRIMMELEN Zoe 100% 100% 95% 70% 22% 1%
9 BURT Stephen 100% 44% 5% -
10 PHAN Katie 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
11 LIANG Andrew 100% 77% 22% 2% - -
12 WARREN Abby 100% 73% 18% 1%
13 KNICK Canyon 100% 100% 97% 59% 10% -
14 JOHNSON Trey 100% 97% 67% 4% - -
15 JOHNSON Ryan 100% 47% 8% - - -
16 NOGGLE Kara Lynn 100% 93% 33% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.