Weekend Warrior II

Div I-A Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Bayou City Fencing Academy - Houston, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 90% 48%
2 CHEW Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
3 LIN Evan 100% 88% 15% 1% < 1%
3 THOMPSON Joshua 100% 90% 45% 8% -
5 PRECCIOZZI Aldo F. 100% 100% 98% 75% 15%
6 AGUILAR JARAMILLO Alan 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
7 MORRISON Everett 100% 93% 63% 22% 2% -
8 NEWELL Tim 100% 96% 65% 20% 2%
9 HEBERT David 100% 85% 47% 13% 1%
10 BATTLE Persephone 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
11 NGUYEN Bao 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 11%
12 TOWSTER Robert 100% 100% 98% 76% 23%
13 LOTURCO Annabella 100% 60% 18% 3% -
14 BUI Ethan 100% 99% 91% 50% -
15 TORNBERG Reagan 100% 50% 5% - -
16 WEMPLE Charles 100% 87% 45% 10% - -
17 SMITH Matthew 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
18 LOTURCO Akiko 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
19 CHRISTENSEN Noah 100% 99% 82% 36% 6%
20 LOTURCO Greg 100% 47% 10% 1% -
21 PARK Dana 100% 99% 60% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.