Tiger Open 2025

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fike Recreation Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HICKS Matthew 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
2 NAMIREDDY Ruthvik 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 TUCKER Evan 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
3 IBANEZ Julien 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
5 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
6 DECKER Carlton 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18% 1%
7 THOMPSON Conner 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
8 LABROZZI Quinn 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
9 PAVLINEC John (Jack) C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
10 KINSELLA John 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
11 MEIER Nicholas M. 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
12 PATEL Divyam 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
13 PELLI Madeleine 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
14 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
15 ASBY Will 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
16 BISEN Aryaman 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
17 CATES Georgia 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
18 HAGEN Samuel 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
19 MACLEOD Zion 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
20 BASS Jackson 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
21 CHAMALA Satvik 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
22 ROHDE Nathan 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
23 HICKS Joseph 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
24 KRISHNAKUMAR Trisha 100% 85% 40% 10% 1% -
25 CHEN Andrew 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
26 STEELE Jeff 100% 97% 79% 47% 16% 2%
27 KOTERBA Chris 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3%
28 ARMES Maggie 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
29 OLENDER Lexi 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
30 TYMOFIEIEVA Arina 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
31 SANTIAGO Aurelio 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
32 LOWE Michael 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% -
33 NEWTON Tal 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
34 SONG Vivian 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% -
34 SEARS SARAH 100% 85% 34% 6% 1% -
36 BILLINGSLEA Owen 100% 88% 48% 9% 1% -
37 FRANKUM Nate 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.