WFencing Cleveland Rocks RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Woodling Gymnasium - Cleveland State University - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	HOROWITZ Shuli	-	-	-	1%	7%	34%	58%
2	MUMMANENI Samyuta	-	-	-	1%	17%	82%
3	KNAPP Isabella	-	-	-	4%	29%	66%
3	HU Sophie	-	-	-	3%	29%	68%
5	DHALIWAL Seerat	-	1%	10%	32%	41%	17%
6	KIM Yuna	-	1%	6%	22%	39%	27%	5%
7	SUN Nicole	-	1%	6%	24%	43%	26%
8	RIVERA Leahy	-	-	1%	7%	34%	59%
9	BOIKE Lucille	-	-	-	4%	28%	67%
10	HAFEZ Sahar	-	-	5%	27%	54%	13%
11	XU Charlene	1%	7%	28%	41%	22%	2%
12	HUANG Emma	-	3%	17%	38%	34%	7%
13	EDGAR Koko	14%	35%	33%	14%	3%	-	-
14	ZOLDAN Nolabelle	1%	7%	29%	44%	19%	1%
15	KASHUBA Mila	-	6%	26%	41%	24%	3%
16	POEI Meagan	3%	17%	37%	32%	11%	1%
17	LALONDE Beatrice	2%	14%	37%	34%	12%	2%
18	LEE Eun-Hae	2%	22%	42%	27%	6%	-
19	GONZALEZ Lauren	14%	39%	35%	11%	1%	-
20	HUANG Rosalyn	2%	24%	42%	26%	6%	-
21	REDEMANN Reagan	4%	23%	39%	27%	7%	-
22	MARTIN Avery	2%	16%	39%	35%	8%	-
23	BELL Blake	2%	19%	39%	30%	9%	-
24	PARANJAPE Ojasvi	-	5%	23%	42%	27%	4%
25	FAROOQI Eliora	6%	31%	40%	19%	4%	-
26	SAMALA Reese	-	2%	12%	40%	42%	5%
27	D'MELLO Ariella	1%	8%	28%	38%	21%	4%
28	UTIN Alexandra	-	7%	28%	41%	22%	2%
29	BHANGOO Paloma	1%	10%	28%	36%	20%	4%	-
30	LIN Athena	5%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%	-
31	ARSOVSKI Maya	13%	39%	36%	11%	1%	-
32	KANASZ Peyton	37%	43%	17%	3%	-	-
33	KU Amanda	45%	41%	13%	1%	-	-
34	HEWITT Madison	24%	44%	26%	6%	-	-
35	JIMÉNEZ PELAY Claudia	32%	43%	21%	4%	-	-
36	ZHOU Jolena	4%	25%	43%	24%	4%	-
37	JAGARLAMUDI Himanshu	17%	38%	31%	12%	2%	-	-
38	XU Teresa	-	3%	13%	31%	35%	16%	2%
39	KAGAN Natalie	10%	37%	38%	13%	1%	-
40	YARLAGADDA Smaya	8%	30%	38%	20%	4%	-
41	NA Adelaide	16%	43%	31%	9%	1%	-
42	HUANG Charise	75%	23%	2%	-	-	-
43	MILLER Sydney	54%	36%	9%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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